I wrote this essay immediately after it became clear (I then thought) that President Obama had decided to hit Assad to punish him for his use of chemical weapons. Now . . . who knows? Maybe Obama will go ahead with his military plans but he increasingly looks like someone making things up as he goes along, a prisoner of circumstance and his mouth rather than someone who has any control over events. Obama has been an enormously lucky politician and may be that will be enough still.
In an essay in the
Economic Times, I argued that India should adopt a pragmatic policy on Syria because India does have an interest in ensuring that the taboo against chemical weapons use is not eroded. Since then, the
External Affairs Minister Khurshid as well as
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh have decided that it is the UN that should take the lead. Apparently it is not just economic policy that
smells of the 1970s around here. I will have more on this later, but below is my take on the crisis.
India
needs have pragmatic policy on Syria, not its traditional default option
It seems reasonably
certain now that the US and its allies will launch a military assault on Syria
to punish the Assad regime for using chemical weapons. The strikes are likely
to be limited with the objective of deterring further Syrian use of chemical
weapons rather than to change the regime.